New Polling Shows Arizona McSally/Sinema Race Back to a Dead Heat

New Polling Shows Arizona McSally/Sinema Race Back to a Dead Heat

Arizona's costly and contentious Senate race remained a nail-biter late Tuesday night as the contest between Republican Rep. Martha McSally and Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema was too close to call.

Lawyers for Arizona's largest county told a judge that only a tiny percentage of the almost 500,000 ballots they have yet to count could be affected by a Republican-led lawsuit seeking to limit their tabulation.

There are still hundreds of thousands of votes to be counted in the last one percent of districts (including the very blue Tucson), with many speculating that the victor will not be named for several days.

The Range does not have an official count of the number of outstanding ballots in Pima and Maricopa counties, but we're told by one political veteran that the number is somewhere around 600,000.

The problem, however, was that early voting in Arizona started on October 10, meaning that not only could voters have cast their mailed ballots for the first 20 days of the voting period, but also that Green's name would still be listed on mailed ballots and the day-of ballots at polling stations through the close of the election.

Currently, several other counties that lean Republican destroy mail ballots if voters don't help verify their signatures before polls close on Election Day. That's because officials say they need the time to do things like verify the signatures on the outside of the envelopes of all those early ballots. Assuming that trend holds and most of the uncounted ballots are in Pima and Maricopa, the remaining ballots could favor Sinema enough to put her over the top.

The two congresswomen are running to fill the seat vacated by the retirement of Republican senator Jeff Flake.

She's one of the congressional Democrats most likely to vote to back Trump's agenda but has spent the race hammering McSally for casting a vote for the health bill backed by the president.

And the late counting is unlikely to cut into the 3,100-vote lead that incumbent Sen.

As of 5:30 p.m. Thursday, Sinema has 916,380 votes statewide, while McSally has 914,369. "There are a lot of outstanding ballots - especially those mailed-in - and a lot of reasons to feel good!"

The situation is even more pronounced in the race for superintendent of public instruction, where Republican Frank Riggs holds a lead of close to just 6,200 over Democrat Kathy Hoffman. The GOP has won every statewide race in Arizona over the past decade, and Democrats were hoping Sinema could break that streak. The GOP notched victories in Attorney General, Treasurer and Secretary of State races as well.

During her 2016 campaign to be re-elected to her Tucson area swing district House seat, McSally criticized Trump for attacking the parents of an Army captain killed in Iraq and for a videotape in which the future president bragged about sexually assaulting women.

Five percent are still undecided about their vote in the Senate race.

McSally and Sinema have both remade themselves politically.

Sinema, 42, is a former Green Party activist who became a Democratic centrist with her first election to the House of Representatives in 2012.

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